Modelling hydrological processes under climate change scenarios in the Jemma sub-basin of upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia

This study examines the response of hydrological processes to different climate change scenarios in Jemma sub-basin Blue Nile Basin. Future near-term (2021–2050) and long-term (2071–2100) were developed from six statistically bias corrected Regional Climate Models (RCMs) under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios: RCP4.5 RCP8.5. The outputs models used as input a calibrated validated Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model assess impact on hydrology sub-basin. For robust hydrologic representation, SWAT was at three River gauging stations provided an acceptable result. RCMs projected increase temperature all decrease rainfall ensemble mean scenarios. may cause consistent surface runoff total water yield evapotranspiration recommends management structures which can conserve for agriculture other ecosystem services similar areas Ethiopia.